Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001892 0.002023 0.002160 0.002312 0.002477 0.002652 0.002850
2024-12-22 0.001691 0.001873 0.002070 0.002300 0.002561 0.002850 0.003194
2024-12-29 0.001539 0.001751 0.001987 0.002273 0.002609 0.002994 0.003471
2025-01-05 0.001427 0.001659 0.001925 0.002255 0.002655 0.003128 0.003735
2025-01-12 0.001322 0.001565 0.001850 0.002211 0.002660 0.003206 0.003927
2025-01-19 0.001246 0.001498 0.001801 0.002192 0.002690 0.003311 0.004152
2025-01-26 0.001147 0.001398 0.001703 0.002104 0.002626 0.003289 0.004208
2025-02-02 0.001126 0.001391 0.001720 0.002162 0.002747 0.003509 0.004592
2025-02-09 0.001098 0.001375 0.001723 0.002199 0.002842 0.003697 0.004942
2025-02-16 0.001097 0.001392 0.001768 0.002293 0.003016 0.003998 0.005466
2025-02-23 0.001059 0.001358 0.001745 0.002292 0.003060 0.004121 0.005741
2025-03-02 0.000999 0.001293 0.001677 0.002227 0.003009 0.004106 0.005812
2025-03-09 0.000952 0.001246 0.001636 0.002202 0.003023 0.004199 0.006069
2025-03-16 0.000915 0.001212 0.001611 0.002201 0.003071 0.004344 0.006418
2025-03-23 0.000875 0.001170 0.001573 0.002178 0.003085 0.004438 0.006694
2025-03-30 0.000839 0.001134 0.001542 0.002162 0.003107 0.004545 0.006997
2025-04-06 0.000799 0.001089 0.001495 0.002120 0.003088 0.004585 0.007189
2025-04-13 0.000768 0.001057 0.001465 0.002102 0.003104 0.004680 0.007480
2025-04-20 0.000721 0.000999 0.001395 0.002019 0.003012 0.004595 0.007453
2025-04-27 0.000716 0.001001 0.001414 0.002073 0.003141 0.004879 0.008096
2025-05-04 0.000705 0.000996 0.001421 0.002109 0.003242 0.005121 0.008680
2025-05-11 0.000709 0.001012 0.001460 0.002198 0.003435 0.005532 0.009615
2025-05-18 0.000690 0.000992 0.001445 0.002197 0.003477 0.005683 0.010064